How to Analyse the Cryptocurrency Markets
In the previous section, we discussed the fundamental factors that influence cryptocurrency prices. Now, let's switch gears and enter the world of technical analysis. Technical analysis involves using statistical trends gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume, to predict future price movements. Here are some key technical analysis tools that you can use to analyse the markets like a pro:
- Support and Resistance - These are the levels at which the price of a cryptocurrency tends to stop and reverse. Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from falling further, while resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. Identifying these levels can help traders make decisions about when to buy or sell.
- Trendlines - Trendlines are simple, yet powerful tools in technical analysis. Imagine drawing a line that shows the general direction of a cryptocurrency's price - that's essentially a trendline. If the price generally goes up, we draw an upward line, and this line can help us identify the best entry points as well as optimal bullish targets. If the price generally goes down, we draw a downward line, which can help us identify the best price points to sell as well as the optimal bearish targets. These lines help traders visually understand the current trend and make predictions about future price movements.
- Moving Averages - A moving average (MA) is a widely used indicator in technical analysis that helps smooth out price action by filtering out the “noise” from random short-term price fluctuations. It is a trend-following or lagging indicator because it is based on past prices. The two basic and commonly used MAs are the simple moving average (SMA), which is the simple average of a security over a defined number of time periods, and the exponential moving average (EMA), which gives more weight to recent prices.
- Chart Patterns - Chart patterns are visual representations of market psychology in action. They can help traders understand the interaction of buyers and sellers in the market, and which group is likely to have an edge in the future. Some common chart patterns include head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, triangles, and flags. Recognising these patterns can provide a valuable indication of potential future price movements.
By mastering these technical analysis tools, you can gain a deeper understanding of market trends and price patterns, helping you make more informed trading decisions. Remember, while technical analysis can be incredibly useful, it should be used in conjunction with fundamental and sentimental analysis for even more potent trading signals